UFC Fight Night 14 – Predictions

                         Anderson SilvaJames Irvin

Saturday is going to be a big day of MMA action – you have Affliction: Banned then you have UFC Fight Night 14; the choice is yours.  For those of you who choose to watch UFC Fight Night 14, then Octagon Buzz has a preview and predictions for the UFC event, which will take place on Saturday, July 19 on Spike TV.  Below I will preview and predict the winner of the 6 televised fights:

  • Light Heavyweight Bout:
    Anderson Silva
    vs. James Irvin

Silva is coming off a submission win over Dan Henderson at UFC 82, while Irvin KO’d Houston Alexander at UFC Fight Night 13.  As most of you know, Silva went up in weight for this fight and both fighters took this fight on only one months’ notice.  Silva is a technician on his feet and has that good mix of knees and kicks in combinations; however, Irvin will have a decided size advantage.  One punch won’t seal the deal for Silva, but a combination of knees and strikes.  Should the fight be on the ground, then Silva has a big advantage as he is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu expert with above-average submission defense, to boot.

Irvin needs to keep the fight standing up and hope to land that one big punch that would rock Silva; in other words, keep close to Silva and force him into a mistake.  But with Silva’s experience, the chances of that happening are slim.

I predict: Anderson Silva defeats James Irvin, mid-2nd round (submission).

  • Lightweight Bout:
    Frank Edgar vs. Hermes Franca

This has the makings of “Fight of the Night”; Edgar is coming off a loss to Gray Maynard at UFC Fight Night 13, while Franca hasn’t fought in over a year because of a suspension he served as he tested positive for steroids after losing to Sean Sherk at UFC 73.  Edgar is the better wrestler of the two and isn’t afraid to mix it up should the need arise; Edgar is undersized for 155 pounds and that may pose a problem, especially since most fighters cut weight to make 155 pounds. 

Franca will probably look to get some submission attempts in should the fight hit the ground; standing up, he will look to land that big punch.  One thing is for certain – neither fighter wants to drop 2 in a row as that hurts your status in the UFC.

I predict: Frank Edgar defeats Hermes Franca by unanimous decision.

  • Light Heavyweight Bout:
    Brandon Vera
    vs. Reese Andy

This will be Vera’s debut at the light heavyweight division going up against IFL veteran Andy; Vera is coming off a controversial loss at UFC 85 against Fabricio Verdum while Andy hasn’t fought in over a year since winning a decision over Krzysztof Soszynski at an IFL show.  Vera has a huge advantage with his striking which includes an arsenal of knees, punches and kicks; Vera is also the better submission fighter yet will want to prevent Andy from taking him to the ground.  Andy’s game plan is simple: take Vera to the ground and impose his will with lots of ground and pound – much like Verdum did in Vera’s last fight.  Vera has dropped 2 in a row and cannot aford to make it 3 – I don’t see that happening Saturday.

I predict: Brandon Vera defeats Reese Andy, late first round (TKO- strikes)

  • Welterweight Bout:
    Anthony Johnson
    vs. Kevin Burns

An interesting matchup between a young, up-and-coming fighter (Johnson) and a newbie to the UFC (Burns).  Johnson is coming off a knockout of Tommy Speer at UFC Fight Night 13 while Burns shocked lots of people when he triangle-choked Roan Carneiro at UFC 85.  Johnson is athletic with a wrestling background, although he would prefer to stand up and be a striker and knock someone out.  Burns, on the other hand, wants to get the fight to the ground, pure and simple.  A win by either fighter means career advancement while a loss by one of them simply means that they’ll go to the drawing board – not career suicide by any means as they’re both relatively young.

I predict: Anthony Johnson defeats Kevin Burns, early-2nd round (TKO – strikes)

  • Heavyweight Bout:
    Cain Velasquez vs. Jake O’Brien

Both fighters are NCAA wrestling standouts, but that’s where the similarities end.  Velasquez made an impressive UFC debut as he stopped Brad Morris at UFC 83 while O’Brien hopes to rebound as he lost to Andre Arlovski at UFC 82.  Velasquez has an advantage at just about every angle- size, talent, striking and ground game – except submissons.  O’Brien may have to have the fight of his MMA career if he hopes to beat Velasquez.  I expect this fight to end early.

I predict: Cain Velasquez defeats Jake O’Brien, late-1st round (KO).

  • Middleweight Bout:
    Jesse Taylor
    vs. C.B. Dollaway

This is like “The Ultimate Fighter – Revisited”; Taylor is getting a second chance in the UFC, especially after his antics on TUF; meanwhile, Dollaway has lost to Amir Sadollah twice.  Taylor is the better striker of the two, while Dollaway is the better man on the ground, so this fight could be one of attrition and could determine which fighter is better focused. 

I predict: Jesse Taylor defeats C.B. Dolloway by split decision.

There’s an undercard, as well which will feature:

  • Dale Hartt vs. Shannon Gugerty
  • Nate Loughran vs. Johnny Rees
  • Brad Blackburn vs. James Gibbo
  • Rory Markham vs. Brodie Farber
  • Tim Credeur vs. Cale Yarbrough

Who do you think will win on the card?  Let Octagon Buzz know!!!

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