UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin – Preview And Predictions

UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin

By far the biggest MMA event so far this year, UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin promises to bring some fireworks – pun unintended – to Las Vegas on Saturday.  With that in mind, Octagon Buzz brings to you analysis and predictions for all of the fights scheduled at UFC 86.  Below you will find the fight in question, analysis of the fighters and who I predict will win the fight.  We’ll start with:

  • Quinton “Rampage” Jackson vs. Forrest Griffin (UFC Light Heavyweight Title)

The main event of the night which should, if anything, be a physical “chess match”.  I think we already know all about Jackson’s physical attributes – his strong wrestling and boxing abilities, while Griffin is very well-rounded with scrappiness in spades and the ability to adapt to most situations.  Jackson, to win this fight, will need to keep the fight on the feet, especially using his boxing and his big punches.  Griffin, on the other hand, will need to somewhat keep his distance by using kicks.  If the fight goes to the ground, Griffin better not fall in love with getting a submission as Jackson has very good submission defense.  So in essence, this is a fight that pits the “brawn” (Jackson) versus the “brain” (Griffin), and only one will come out on top on Saturday.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Griffin defeats Jackson, 4th round

  • Patrick Cote vs. Ricardo Almeida

This fight, while obviously not as big in scope as the Jackson vs. Griffin bout, does have some incentive attached to it; the winner of this one should be able to get a shot at Anderson Silva and his 185-pound title.  Cote’s best chance to win this fight is to keep the fight standing as the ground game isn’t his calling card.  Almeida, on the flip side, because he is a Brazilian jiu jitsu specialist, would be best served getting Cote to the ground.  I don’t see this fight lasting very long at all.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Cote defeats Almeida, 2nd round

  • Josh Koscheck vs. Chris Lytle

Both fighters are contrasts in fighting styles – Koscheck is a wrestling anda ground-and-pounder while Lytle is a pure striker.  Koscheck, in preparation for this fight, has added some submission techniques and defense to his repertoire while Lytle, as previously stated, is a striker with a good ground game.  Koscheck, in order to win this fight, needs to stay a good distance from Lytle to avoid the fists and their reach; if at all possible, he should get the game to the ground as his wrestling and positioning should serve him well against Lytle.  Lytle may want to keep the fight on the feet and be aggressive in his striking; any deviation of that game plan and he may get TKO’d on the ground by Koscheck.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Josh Koscheck defeats Chris Lytle, late 1st round

  • Joe Stevenson vs. Gleison Tibau

My candidate for “Fight of the Night”.  Bothfighters share similar fighting styles – ground and pound with a submisson attempt shortly thereafter.  Tibau is the stronger of the two, so Stevenson will need to avoid being on his back, if at all possible.  Bothfighters have a lot at stake here, with the winner to live to fight another day while the loser will be at the crossroads of his career.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Joe Stevenson defeats Gleison Tibau, split decision

  • Tyson Griffin vs. Marcus Aurelio

An interesting fight where Griffin and Aurelio are similar, but different in their fighting styles; Griffin and Aurelio are OK strikers – that’s where the similarities end.  Griffin has the wrestling background, so Aurelio will need to be on top when the chance presents itself andtry to get submission attempts in.  The fight, like most lightweight fights tend to be, will be fast-paced, so don’t expect this one to go the full 3 rounds.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Tyson Griffin defeats Marcus Aurelio, early 2nd round

  • Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Justin McCully

This fight is huge for both – win and future booking in the UFC will continue; lose and you get to fight for another promotion.  Having said that, both fighters are sluggers; whichever fighter is able to get the other fighter on the ground will win because both fighters like to fight from the top, and the ground and pound will dictate this fight.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Gabriel Gonzaga defeats Justin McCully, late 1st round

  • Cole Miller vs. Jorge Gurgel

Youth versus experience; that’s what we have here between Miller and Gurgel.  Bothare ground and pounders with decent submission games; however, Miller is the better striker of the two.  Gurgel, on the other hand, is the better wrestler so he may want to use that to his advantage.  I think this fight will be one where youth beats out experience.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Cole Miller defeats Jorge Gurgel, unanimous decision

  • Melvin Guillard vs. Dennis Siver

Both fighters are coming off losses.  Both also need a win if they hope to continue to ply their trade in the UFC.  Guillard has very quick hands, yet may want to get Siver to the ground and take advantage.  Siver is a kickboxer, so you can expect from him lots of kicks to the legs and body.  That may work to his advantage as Guillard isn’t accustomed to kicks.  Factor in the fact that Guillard is unpredictable and to a degree undisciplined, this fight shouldn’t go the entire 3 rounds, although anything’s possible.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Dennis Siver defeats Melvin Guillard, unanimous decision

  • Justin Buchholz vs. Corey Hill

This fight will be a “make-or-break” fight for Buchholz; win and he’s in.  Lose and…well there’s always EliteXC.  Hill, for the most part, has little to lose here, and his fighting style will probably reflect that attitude.  Buchholzwill need to establish ground andpoundearly, as Hill’s weaknesses entail not having the experience dealing with clinches andbeing on his back for any extended period of time.  Hill, withhis reach advantage, should frustrate Buchholz withkeeping the fight on the feet with knees and punching combinations to throw off Buchholz.  Stephen Rhodes of Octagon Buzz predicts: Corey Hill defeats Justin Buchholz, mid-2nd round

Want to predict the outcome of these fights?  Let us know who you think will win the bouts!!!  You got my take, let me get yours!!!



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